2021 Hurricane Outlook & Effects to the Tri State

Forecasters are hinting towards another active hurricane season. These tropical storms could give Tri Staters a break from the heat & humidity through the warmer months. Checkout the latest outlook.

Posted: May 17, 2021 11:26 AM
Updated: May 17, 2021 12:07 PM

The start of a new and possibly active hurricane season is just weeks away, beginning June 1st. Although tropical cyclones may not be the #1 weather concern on Tri Stater's minds this summer, hurricanes do have a history of impacting our local weather. The 2020 hurricane season was definitely one for the books. The Atlantic Basin, which is where most U.S. tropical storm development occurs, set a new record of 29 named storms last year, 11 of them making U.S. landfall. The meteorological community is already suggesting another active season. This forecast could incite worry for our coastal communities, inversely Tri Staters could find some relief of an active season from the intense summer heat.

Geographically, the Tri State is located in the heart of the lower-Ohio River Valley and is about 500 miles from the nearest coastline. Despite our continental location, remnants of hurricanes sometimes find their way to the River City. Throughout last year's historic season 3 tropical storms impacted the region. Cristabal, Delta and Laura tracked through the Tri State as a weakening Tropical Depression. Although these storms did not give us rough winds or severe storm surge, they did provide a substantial break from the monotonous summer-like pattern.

Hurricanes are undoubtedly the most powerful storms on the planet. These tightly-wind storm systems can dish out a ton of destructive damage upon landfall. Once storms make it further inland tropical cyclones begin to weaken and unpack itself. This decaying process can deliver days of rain, higher wind speeds and cloud cover to locations miles away from the coastline, like the Tri State. A recent example is the remnants of Hurricane Laura that dumped a total of 1.22" of rainfall with persisted overcast skies over a 3-day period (August 26th-29th) in Evansville.

The Tri State is usually targeted by tropical cyclones that make U.S. landfall along the Texas or Louisiana Gulf coast. The development of a tropical storm can happen anytime in the Gulf of Mexico throughout hurricane season (June - November). According to the National Hurricane Center, the gulf reaches its peak time for hurricanes from mid-August through late-October.

The meteorological community is bracing for another above-average hurricane season. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic Basin are already abnormally warmer by mid-May standards. With this trend continuing, many forecasters who specialize in tropical weather are predicted over 14 named storms with 4 or more becoming major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher).

Evansville
Partly Cloudy
31° wxIcon
Hi: 34° Lo: 27°
Feels Like: 31°
Owensboro
Clear
33° wxIcon
Hi: 36° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 33°
Princeton
Partly Cloudy
28° wxIcon
Hi: 33° Lo: 25°
Feels Like: 28°
Madisonville
Clear
38° wxIcon
Hi: 40° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 34°
Jasper
Partly Cloudy
26° wxIcon
Hi: 33° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 26°
We're waking up to dry and cold conditions this Tuesday morning. As we head into the afternoon, temperatures won't rise much. Highs are only going to be in the mid to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy with a chance of flurries overnight. It won't be a big snow by any stretch, but you could see some flurries flying Tuesday night into Wednesday morning around the Tri-State. Don't expect more than a dusting, with greater chances falling north of I-64.
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