Could Ida Take Aim At the Tri-State?

The heat and humidity linger for now, but a tropical system may bring about cooler temperatures.

Posted: Aug 26, 2021 6:12 PM

Not only did Thursday mark our 4th straight day of 90° temperatures here in the Tri-State, but it was also Evansville's hottest day in two and a half months; our peak temperature of 94° was the highest recorded in the River City since June 12th when we last reached 95°. The evening ahead looks similar to that of Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday's - the skies will remain relatively clear with temperatures gradually dwindling into the low 80s by 10PM before bottoming out near the mid 70s early tomorrow. Our Friday, Saturday, Sunday and even next Monday look as though they'll remain hot and humid with afternoon highs in the low 90s and heat indices ranging between 99° and 102°. There are however, some hints of relief toward the end of our extended forecast - unfortunately, we may have to deal with our fair share of heavy rainfall prior to the arrival of the potential cool down.

Outside of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms Friday afternoon or early evening, the next 48 hour or so will remain dry throughout the Tri-State; beyond that, is another situation entirely. I'm tracking a frontal boundary currently situated off the western coast of British Columbia that is expected to stall out over the Great Lakes and Midwest early next week. This stalling front will likely supply portions of the Tri-State with scattered shower and thunderstorm activity during both our Sunday and Monday. Our greatest chances of rainfall however, won't likely reach the Ohio Valley until next Tuesday or Wednesday; it's around then that the remnants of a tropical system currently strengthening in the Caribbean could make their way into the Tri-State.

If Tropical Storm Ida, currently centralized of the western coast of Jamaca, follows the National Hurricane Center's latest forecast, the storm will quickly strengthen into a Category 2 or 3 Hurricane prior to making landfall along the Gulf Coast (somewhere near Louisiana) around midday Sunday. According to the most recent model runs, the storm will race northward before meeting our aforementioned stalled frontal boundary near the Ohio Valley. The remnants of Ida will then take an eastward turn toward the Virginias on its way to dissipating over the Appalachians. Obviously, this forecast remains highly suspect as the Tropical Storm remains nearly 1,500 miles from the Tri-State, but if the trends come to fruition, we could be left with up to 2" of additional rainfall between now and then. If there's a silver lining here, it'll be the hit temperatures take as a result of the passing tropical remnant - next Thursday's anticipated high of 81° would be our coolest in nearly three weeks!

Evansville
Clear
38° wxIcon
Hi: 54° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 31°
Owensboro
Clear
38° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 30°
Princeton
Clear
39° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 27°
Feels Like: 32°
Madisonville
Clear
41° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 36°
Jasper
Clear
33° wxIcon
Hi: 52° Lo: 26°
Feels Like: 25°
Winds will gust as high 35 MPH through the afternoon. The stronger southerly winds will assist in milder afternoon highs. Temperatures will max in the upper-50s and low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Rain will be arriving by 3AM Thanksgiving morning.
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