Just another day in paradise. Temperatures this afternoon soared back into the upper 40s and low 50s early on today; our peak temperature of 49° in Evansville was nearly 10° above the norm for this time of the year. The rest of the evening looks as though will remain clear as temperatures gradually dwindle from 38° around dinner time to 34° by 10 o’clock before dipping all the way back down to 30° by early Friday morning.
We'll kick off our Friday under mainly cloudy skies and should expect them to remain that way through the rest of the day - conditions are expected to remain dry through the morning and afternoon as temperatures gradually reach up towards 40° in Evansville. It’s late tomorrow evening that portions of the Tri-State start to see their first chances of winter weather returning to the region.
A core of low pressure swinging southeastward from the Upper Great Plains will merge with another over the Mississippi Valley late Friday into early Saturday morning. This merger will create a significant winter weather event for portions of the Great Plains and the Tennessee Valley. Here in the Lower Ohio Valley, snowfall totals are expected to vary greatly.
While many of us will see snow chances through late Friday and for much of Saturday morning and early afternoon, the latest model data indicates that the majority of the Tri-State will see a break from the snowfall Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. However a resurgence of snow chances are expected to settle back in across our bluegrass communities overnight into early Sunday. This resurgence of snowfall is what is expected to lead to potentially significant accumulations for the far southernmost reaches of the Tri-State between Friday night and Sunday afternoon.
The last of the snowfall should exit east of the Tri-State around 5 PM on Sunday. Snowfall projections from model to model remain very much at odds and it is simply too early to issue a detailed snowfall projection, however the areas west and south of Evansville are expected to see the greatest likelihood of heavy snowfall between Friday evening and Sunday afternoon. We will continue to keep you updated on our impending winter weather as more information becomes available.